Forecasting Senior Manager

BAI- Forecasting Senior Manager, Rare DiseaseFlexible Commuter role to the Deerfield, IL or Thousand Oaks, CA office. This role will require someone to be in the office Tuesdays and Wednesdays.The Forecasting team at Amgen plays a pivotal role as a strategic partner to Commercial leadership, offering data-backed insights crucial for driving commercial success. As a Senior Manager of Forecasting, you will contribute significantly to the Rare Disease business, executing and managing discussions with brand leads.The individual in this role will need to thoughtfully influence and challenge a diverse set of stakeholders from Commercial, R&D, Medical, Finance, Manufacturing, Access, and Pricing/Contracting, while proficiently understanding the nuances of the particular disease area of interest and the market.This role reports to the Senior Director of Forecasting and operates within the broader framework of Business Analytics & Insights (BAI).ResponsibilitiesForecast development and managementBuild and maintain robust forecasting models using advanced techniques (trend analysis, regression, scenario planning)Incorporate internal and external data (sales trends, competitive landscape, market research) to refine forecastsConduct regular forecast reviews and adjust as needed based on market dynamics, sales performance and strategic changesStrategic analysis and insightsCollaborate with cross-functional teams to align forecasts with business strategiesProvide insights on performance drivers and potential risks and opportunities impacting the forecastsEvaluate and report the impact of market events (competitor launches, regulatory changes) on product performanceStakeholder communication and collaborationPresent forecasts and supporting insights to senior leadership and other stakeholdersWork closely with supply chain teams to ensure forecasts align with inventory and operational planningServe as the subject matter expert on forecast assumptions and methodologiesData and technology optimizationLeverage data visualization tools (Tableau, Power BI) to communicate insights effectivelyUtilize forecasting software and statistical tools to improve accuracy and efficiencyContinuously explore and implement new data sources and analytical techniques to enhance forecasting processesOversight of one contingent workerWhat we expect of youWe are all different, yet we all use our unique contributions to serve patients. The forecasting professional we seek is a data driven individual with these qualifications.Basic Qualifications:Doctorate degree and 2 years of forecasting, analytics or finance experienceORMaster's degree and 4 years of forecasting, analytics or finance experienceORBachelor's degree and 6 years of forecasting, analytics or finance experienceORAssociate's degree and 10 years of forecasting, analytics or finance experienceORHigh school diploma / GED and 12 years of forecasting, analytics or finance experiencePreferred Qualifications:Ability to quickly establish credibility with and influence ED/VP level staffKnowledge and experience working with industry internal and secondary data sources; experience doing analog and uptake curve analysisProficiency in advanced forecasting techniques, statistical modeling and data analysisHighly skilled in working collaboratively in a team-based environment and gaining alignment across an organizationHigh level of proficiency in Excel, PowerPoint and Power BIExcellent communication skills with the ability to present complex data and insights to both technical and non-technical stakeholdersPartnership with business leaders to deliver high-quality predictions guiding strategic decision-makingAbility to interpret and analyze data trends, identify patterns and make data-driven decisionsExperience with Monte Carlo analysis and statistical trendingWhat you can expect of usAs we work to develop treatments that take care of others, we also work to care for your professional and personal growth and well-being. From our competitive benefits to our collaborative culture, we'll support your journey every step of the way.The expected annual salary range for this role in the U.S. (excluding Puerto Rico) is posted. Actual salary will vary based on several factors including but not limited to, relevant skills, experience, and qualifications.In addition to the base salary, Amgen offers a Total Rewards Plan, based on eligibility, comprising of health and welfare plans for staff and eligible dependents, financial plans with opportunities to save towards retirement or other goals, work/life balance, and career development opportunities that may include:A comprehensive employee benefits package, including a Retirement and Savings Plan with generous company contributions, group medical, dental and vision coverage, life and disability insurance, and flexible spending accountsA discretionary annual bonus program, or for field sales representatives, a sales-based incentive planStock-based long-term incentivesAward-winning time-off plansFlexible work models where possible. Refer to the Work Location Type in the job posting to see if this applies.Apply now and make a lasting impact with the Amgen team.