US Economist

Vice President, US Economist

NatWest Markets Securities Inc. (NWMSI) seeks a Vice President, US Economist for its Stamford, CT location.

Duties:

• Conduct research and provide economic analysis and insights on monetary policy to support US traders and salespersons.
• Collaborate with Chief Economist to form a view on the economic outlook for the US, including forecasts of key economic data and Federal Reserve monetary policy.
• Compile, analyze, and report high frequency economic data to explain economic phenomena and inflation, applying mathematical models and statistical techniques.
• Participate in and analyze various surveys that track macroeconomic forecasts, business trends, and expert consensus on policy issues.
• Write commentary that is distributed to clients, media, and internal business functions.
• Provide regular insight and analysis to the sales and trading teams internally to clients who manage portfolios of a variety of asset classes, as well as capital and private markets group at the Bank.

Requirements:

• Must have a Bachelor's degree in Economics, Finance, Business Administration, or a related field and 5 years of progressive, post-bachelor's experience in the position offered, as an Economist, or closely related role in the financial services industry.
• Enhancing accuracy of CPI, PPI and PCE forecasts through knowledge of government statistical procedures and methodologies to be used as inputs in economic and monetary policy outlook.
• Utilizing input output models and futures prices movements for inflation forecasting.
• Utilizing household survey data and tools used to extract CPS microdata for labor market slack analysis to project the labor market outlook, and presenting findings in monthly reports to clients, media and internal business functions.
• Utilizing Growth and Trade data forecasting and analysis skills, including EViews-based forecasting skills, to perform econometric analysis, statistical modeling, and economic forecasting for GDP components and publishing monthly forecast updates for clients, media and internal teams.
• Utilizing bottom-up (granular microeconomic analysis) and top-down (holistic macroeconomic analysis) inflation models to forecast future price changes and providing comprehensive reporting to internal teams on broad economic trends and specific industry dynamics' influence on potential returns and risks.
• Examining Federal Reserve financial accounts to assess the health of the consumer sector using household balance sheet analysis and development of excess savings estimates.
• Providing and developing perspectives on changing market conditions and distilling market analysis into approachable media formats.
• Leveraging statistical models, including Vector auto regression and Vector error correction, time-series analysis tools, including principal component analysis and financial market indicators, including energy and commodity futures, to predict key inflation gauges and develop inflation forecasting systems.

Salary is $200,000/yr.; 40 hrs./wk. Direct applicants only.

In addition to base salary, our total rewards package also includes eligibility for an annual discretionary bonus; medical, dental, and vision plans; life and disability insurance; employee wellness programs; retirement and savings plans with potential employer contributions; generous paid time off policy, parental leave and tuition reimbursement.

It is the policy of NatWest Markets Securities Inc. and its parent, affiliates and/or subsidiaries to provide equal employment and advancement opportunities to all colleagues and applicants for employment without regard to race, color, ethnicity, religion, gender, sex, pregnancy/childbirth, age, national origin, sexual orientation, gender identity or expression, disability or perceived disability, genetic information, citizenship, veteran or military status, marital or domestic partner status, or any other category protected by federal, state and/or local laws.