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Freelance Geopolitical & Event Forecasting Experts at AI Startup

Temporary

Lightly AG

Role Description

Lightly AG is looking for analytical and driven Geopolitical and Event Forecasting Professionals to help evaluate AI-generated predictions about real-world events. The estimated project scope is approximately 15 hours/week.

  • Evaluate AI-generated event forecasts by assessing the accuracy and quality of predictions covering elections, central bank decisions, policy announcements, and technology/regulatory events using a provided rubric.
  • Project expected to begin early July.

Qualifications

  • At least 2-3 years of recent experience in political analysis, macroeconomics, geopolitical risk, or policy research.
  • Experience producing or evaluating probabilistic forecasts - election modelling, policy impact assessments, or macro scenario analysis.
  • Familiarity with prediction markets (Polymarket, Metaculus) or superforecasting methodologies.
  • Fluency in English (requirement).
  • Strong analytical and quantitative skills.
  • Ability to communicate clearly and precisely.

Benefits

  • Work directly with a YC-backed team on cutting-edge AI evaluation projects.
  • Competitive compensation tailored to experience and scope of work.

Company Description

Lightly AG is an ETH and HSG spin-off pioneering in machine learning and computer vision. We are backed by Y Combinator and top-tier investors, and our technology is used by global leaders in autonomous driving, medical imaging, and visual inspection.

Vacancy posted 8 days ago
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