Senior Manager, US Forecasting

Senior Manager, US Forecasting Flexible commuter role to Thousand Oaks office. You will work on-site 2-3 days a week. Join Amgen’s mission of serving patients. At Amgen, if you feel like you’re part of something bigger, it’s because you are. Our shared mission to serve patients living with serious illnesses drives all that we do. Since 1980, we have helped pioneer the world of biotech in our fight against the world’s toughest diseases. With a focus on Oncology, Inflammation, General Medicine, and Rare Disease we reach millions of patients each year. As a member of the Amgen team, you will help make a lasting impact on the lives of patients as we research, manufacture, and deliver innovative medicines to help people live longer, fuller, happier lives. Our award-winning culture is collaborative, innovative, and science based. If you have a passion for challenges and the opportunities that lay within them, you will thrive as part of the Amgen team. Join us and transform the lives of patients while transforming your career. What You Will Do Build detailed and advanced forecast models (patient, Rx, sales, Rx Based, etc.) projecting units and revenue for inline products by indication/regions. Use advanced simulation models (e.g., Monte Carlo analysis, statistical trending) to quantify uncertainty. Leverage diverse pharmaceutical data sources and their nuances to enhance forecasting approaches and methodologies. Lead methodology development and ensure consistency across multiple brand forecasts. Design forecasting frameworks adaptable for what-if and scenario planning. Analyze competitors and market dynamics to inform forecasting models and strategic decisions. Develop an objective brand strategy by integrating insights across multiple functions and capability areas. Interpret policy and pricing changes (e.g., IRA, access shifts) and quantify their impact. Act as the key point of contact for global brand leads, engaging them in forecasting deliverables. Facilitate discussions and build consensus among partners to establish clear and rigorous worldwide sales expectations for pipeline assets. Advise cross-functional teams on implications of clinical milestones and competitive events. Own multi-brand forecasts; challenge entrenched assumptions; drive process improvements across cycles. Support leadership in identifying actionable strategies to improve commercial potential, prioritizing risks and opportunities. Provide informed recommendations on product development continuation or discontinuation based on market conditions, financial projections, and strategic goals. Maintain awareness of broader market dynamics and integrate them into TA-level forecasts. Develop and deliver transparent presentations that articulate key variables in the forecast, ensuring comprehensive understanding for decision makers. Use communication and interpersonal skills to influence leadership on recommended courses of action. Narrate drivers of forecast change; frame forecasts in terms of strategic risks and opportunities. Collaborate with the broader BAI organization to integrate comprehensive insights and analytics knowledge into forecast development. Improve the depth and accuracy of forecasts by leveraging a broad spectrum of insights across the organization. Explore AI/ML and automation; identify team capability gaps and build skills. Drive productivity and efficiency by streamlining forecasting processes where possible. Oversee deliverables across brands/assets; ensure forecasts are auditable and scalable. What We Expect of You Basic Qualifications: Doctorate degree and 2 years of Pharma/Biotech forecasting, demand planning, or supply chain management experience. Masters degree and 4 years of Pharma/Biotech forecasting, demand planning, or supply chain management experience. Bachelor’s degree and 6 years of Pharma/Biotech forecasting, demand planning, or supply chain management experience. Associate’s degree and 10 years of Pharma/Biotech forecasting, demand planning, or supply chain management experience. High school diploma/GED and 12 years of Pharma/Biotech forecasting, demand planning, or supply chain management experience. Preferred Qualifications: Ability to quickly establish credibility with and influence ED/VP level staff. Knowledge and experience working with industry internal and secondary data sources; experience doing analog and uptake curve analysis. Proficiency in advanced forecasting techniques, statistical modeling, and data analysis. Highly skilled in working collaboratively in a team-based environment and gaining alignment across an organization. High level of proficiency in Excel, PowerPoint, Word. Excellent communication skills with the ability to present complex data and insights to both technical and non-technical partners. Ability to interpret and analyze data trends, identify patterns, and make data-driven decisions. Experience in contributing to the development of long-term business plans based on forecasting insights. What You Can Expect of Us We support your professional and personal growth and well-being with competitive benefits and a collaborative culture. The expected annual salary range for this role in the U.S. (excluding Puerto Rico) is posted. Actual salary will vary based on several factors including but not limited to relevant skills, experience, and qualifications. In addition to the base salary, Amgen offers a total rewards plan, based on eligibility, comprising health and welfare plans for staff and eligible dependents, financial plans with opportunities to save towards retirement or other goals, work/life balance, and career development opportunities. Benefits include: A comprehensive employee benefits package, including a retirement and savings plan with generous company contributions, group medical, dental and vision coverage, life and disability insurance, and flexible spending accounts. Discretionary annual bonus program, and for field sales representatives, a sales-based incentive plan. Stock-based long-term incentives. Award-winning time-off plans. Flexible work models, including remote and hybrid arrangements where possible. Application Process Application deadline: Amgen does not have an application deadline for this position; we will continue accepting applications until we receive a sufficient number or select a candidate for the position. Sponsorship: Sponsorship for this role is not guaranteed. Equal Opportunity Employer Amgen is an Equal Opportunity employer and will consider all qualified applicants for employment without regard to race, color, religion, sex, sexual orientation, gender identity, national origin, protected veteran status, disability status, or any other basis protected by applicable law. We will ensure that individuals with disabilities are provided reasonable accommodation to participate in the job application or interview process, to perform essential job functions, and to receive other benefits and privileges of employment. Please contact us to request accommodation. #J-18808-Ljbffr BioSpace